every 4 years, the director of national intelligence (nominally in charge of the us intelligence community) commissions a report about the future. it doesn’t matter whether it is strictly more accurate than other forecasts because this forecast will definitely influence policy. there is lots of food for thought, but here are a few teasers:

There will not be any hegemonic power.
We are facing a transition point just like in 1815, 1919, 1945 and 1989

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