hofstadter on singularity scenarios. he bemoans the lack of serious scientific debate about it
Tag: singularity
Brain simulation
IBM researchers assembled a simulated mouse cortical hemisphere on one of the smaller BlueGene/L supercomputers. They then ran the simulation — at 10s of computer processing equal to 1s of brain function.
2008-03-04: Blue Brain
the brain has 100b neurons and 1t synapses. So they need to scale up the neurons by 10m and the synapses by 33K. By 2017, there should be a single whole brain simulation. Personalized whole brain simulation would follow by 2027-2037.
Blue Brain scientists are confident that, at some point in the next few years, they will be able to start simulating an entire brain.
2008-10-29: The scale needed
There are petaflop supercomputers now so if such a system were dedicated to brain emulation a system 10x larger than the rat brain could be simulated.
2014-03-14: A fun monte carlo simulation of when whole brain emulation will become feasible:
50% chance for WBE (if it ever arrives) before 2059, with the 25th % in 2047 and the 75th % in 2074. WBE before 2030 looks very unlikely and only 10% likely before 2040
2015-09-11: Ethics of brain simulations
What I hope happens is that computational neuroscientists think a bit about the issue of suffering in their simulations rather than slip into the comfortable “It is just a simulation, it cannot feel anything” mode of thinking by default.
It is easy to tell oneself that simulations do not matter because not only do we know how they work when we make them (giving us the illusion that we actually know everything there is to know about the system – obviously not true since we at least need to run them to see what happens), but institutionally it is easier to regard them as non-problems in terms of workload, conflicts and complexity (let’s not rock the boat at the planning meeting, right?) And once something is in the “does not matter morally” category it becomes painful to move it out of it – many will now be motivated to keep it there.
2021-06-18: Towards the mouse brain connectome
A connectomic study of a petascale fragment of human cerebral cortex”, Shapson-Coe et al 2021 (“…This “digital tissue” is a ~660K× scale up of an earlier saturated reconstruction from a small region of mouse cortex, published in 2015 (Kasthuri et al 2015). Although this scaleup was difficult, it was not 100000x more difficult and took about the same amount of time as the previous data set (~4 years)…The rapid improvements over the past few years…argues that analyzing volumes that are even 3 orders of magnitude larger, such as an exascale whole mouse brain connectome, will likely be in reach within 10 years.”
2023-08-31: Human Brain Project retrospective
It took 10 years, 500 scientists and €600m, and now the Human Brain Project — one of the biggest research endeavors ever funded by the European Union — is coming to an end. Its audacious goal was to understand the human brain by modelling it in a computer.
During its run, scientists under the umbrella of the Human Brain Project (HBP) have published 1000s of papers and made significant strides in neuroscience, such as creating detailed 3D maps of at least 200 brain regions, developing brain implants to treat blindness and using supercomputers to model functions such as memory and consciousness and to advance treatments for various brain conditions. The project did not achieve its goal of simulating the whole human brain — an aim that many scientists regarded as far-fetched in the first place. It changed direction several times, and its scientific output became “fragmented and mosaic-like”.
Human Superiority Complex
But many monists, such as the majority of the transhumanist community, are still sketchy regarding the idea of an AI self-replicating and self-enhancing autonomously to the point where it becomes the primary shaper of the world. I propose that such doubts are based on a human superiority complex, plain and simple.
on the uphill battle about the substrate for mind
Congress Singularity
first mention of the singularity in a congressional report. it remains to be seen how much of it sticks with brains primarily occupied with dishing out pork.
A Taxonomy of Minds
- Super fast human mind.
- Mind with operational access to its source code.
- Any mind capable of general intelligence and self-awareness.
- General intelligence without self-awareness.
- Self-awareness without general intelligence.
- Super logic machine without emotion.
- Mind capable of imagining greater mind.
- Mind capable of creating greater mind. (M2)
- Self-aware mind incapable of creating a greater mind.
- Mind capable of creating greater mind which creates greater mind. etc. (M3, and Mn)
- Mind requiring protector while it develops.
- Very slow “invisible” mind over large physical distance.
- Mind capable of cloning itself and remaining in unity with clones.
- Mind capable of immortality.
- Rapid dynamic mind able to change its mind-space-type sectors (think different)
- Global mind — large supercritical mind mind of subcritical brains.
- Hive mind — large super critical mind made of smaller minds each of which is supercritical.
- Low count hive mind with few critical minds making it up.
- Borg — supercritical mind of smaller minds supercritical but not self-aware
- Nano mind — smallest (size and energy profile) possible super critical mind.
- Storebit — Mind based primarily on vast storage and memory.
- Anticipators — Minds specializing in scenario and prediction making.
- Guardian angels — Minds trained and dedicated to enhancing your mind, useless to anyone else.
- Mind with communication access to all known “facts.” (F1)
- Mind which retains all known “facts,” never erasing. (F2)
- Symbiont, half machine half animal mind.
- Cyborg, half human half machine mind.
- Q-mind, using quantum computing
- Vast mind employing faster-than-light communications
True Mutations
Interviews on the Edge of Science, Technology, and Consciousness looks at the wild changes that may be coming to the human species during the 21st Century. In a series of interviews, author/host RU Sirius explores a series of (r)evolutions in disciplines ranging from the evolution of clean energy to the possibilities of endless neurological ecstasy; from open-source free access to nearly everything under the sun to self-directed biotechnological evolution; from psychedelic culture mash-ups to the possibilities of a technological singularity that alters not only humanity but the entire universe
popularizing the singularity
In the Hall of the Flesh Sculptors
Transhumanist Sects
when the revolution comes, it will be important to distinguish your extropians from your singularitarians.
Transhumanism in The Economist
is it too much to hope for that we won’t get uninformed views dominating, just like with all the GNR technologies? on the other hand, this might be a watershed moment where the term enters the early adopter phase
Jury Service
Earth has a population of 1b hominids. For the most part, they are happy with their lot, living in a preserve at the bottom of a gravity well. Those who are unhappy have emigrated, joining one or another of the swarming densethinker clades that fog the inner solar system with a dust of molecular machinery so thick that it obscures the sun. Except for the solitary lighthouse beam that perpetually tracks the Earth in its orbit, the system from outside resembles a spherical fogbank radiating in the infrared spectrum; a matrioshka brain, nested Dyson orbitals built from the dismantled bones of moons and planets.