Tag: finance

Bank Regulation

In the wake of subprime losses we are hearing claims that the United States should have regulated its banks more. It is worth pointing out that the US has some of the most heavily regulated banks in the world. It is plausible to argue that the United States should have fewer bank regulators (I’ll nominate the Fed for the main role), but that consolidation should be accompanied by greater efficacy of regulation. In the meantime there are too many regulatory authorities, and too many regulations. We have completely blurred lines of accountability, legal, political, economic, and otherwise.

the real problem is a culture that fetishises home ownership.

Forex Trading Game

eToro lets users practice play, or deposit funds for real money trading. The currencies available to trade are the US Dollar, British Pound, Australian Dollar, the Euro and the Japanese Yen. This is where it gets fun… There are 4 games to choose from: Forex Marathon – You pick the currency you think will go up and have it compete in a foot race against the currencies you think will go down.


very banking 2015

Private Microsoft

So who could buy it? Who has $100b of equity capital available (and the credibility to get the debt financing and spin-offs underwritten?) Clearly there are the usual suspects – the giant private equity players: Blackstone, KKR, Goldman Sachs, Silver Lake, TPG, etc. and the enormous sovereign wealth funds. (You want China to get serious about protecting software licences – give them a stake in Windows/Office…) And what about Cascade (Bill’s private investment management firm)? They might be interested (both financially and emotionally) in recycling $20b of the proceeds back into the deal. (Not to mention all the other MSFT billionaires.) Also you have to think alot of the big institutional holders of MSFT would much rather hold a lean and efficient Windows/Office company and so might well be interested in recycling their payouts into a sidecar or 144a structure to participate in the deal. And then of course there is Warren. A lean, run-for-cash Windows/Office is a company that would be right down Berkshire Hathaway’s alley, no? Basically – and even if my maths/numbers above are a bit shaky, my gut feeling is that it would stack up. It’s fundable. And the banks will fall over themselves to get it done. Think of the fees!!! (In this instance, the ‘absolute’ numbers matter more than the ratios!)

how microsoft could be taken private

Financial illiteracy

what do getting locked in with long term phone contracts and losing your shirt with subprime mortgages have in common? financial illiteracy, especially the lack of understanding what net present value means.
2013-06-07:

Many people who gave themselves high marks for managing their finances also were using non-bank borrowing methods, such as payday loans, or had overdrawn their checking accounts.

I always thought dunning-kruger explained people’s infatuation with “owning” real estate, but it turns out it also explains their general financial ineptitude.