Imagine a flashy spaceship lands in your backyard. The door opens and you are invited to investigate everything to see what you can learn. The technology is clearly millions of years beyond what we can make.
This is biology.
Tag: culture
Internet-free Star Trek
But, as I watched the PADDs circulate around the show, I slowly realize that they’re not actually used like iPads at all. In fact, they’re more like fancy pieces of paper. Individual PADDs correspond to specific documents like the Earth guidebook shown above. To give someone a document, people carry PADDs around and then leave them with the new owner of the document. From a 2013 point of view, these uses seem completely inside out. Each PADD is bound to an individual document rather than a person or location. This is a universe where its easier to copy physical objects (in a replicator) than digital ones.
Join The Universe
If you spend most of your time arguing with your immediate family, then even the family members with whom you most disagree are at the center of your world, and greatly define you. you are defined more by the topics on which you argue, and the communities in which you argue, than by which side you take on such topics. The people you most hate, you hate exactly because they are close to you, and in your way, as they are in your world. These worlds I listed, even the US politics world, seem to me just too small and provincial to spend all my time there.
Here are 41 BIG questions:
- Did there have to be something, rather than nothing?
- Is the universe infinite, in spacetime or entropy?
- Why is entropy always lower in past directions?
- Are the speed of light, and forward causation, hard limits on info & influence?
- What is most of the universe made of, & can the other stuff make complex life & civs?
- Where are the universe’s largest reservoirs of extractable negentropy, and how fast can they flow?
- How cheaply can these reservoirs be defended & maintained, and thus how long can they last?
- In which of the many possible filter steps does most of the great filter usually lie?
- How far away is the nearest alien civilization?
- What % of alien civs evolve intelligence via routes other than our social conflict route?
- How willing are most aliens to cooperate with us, instead of competing?
- When will growth in tech abilities slow down due to running out of useful things to learn?
- When will growth of solar system economy slow down due to congestion & exhaustion?
- When will growth of Earth economy slow down due to congestion & exhaustion?
- When will artificial machines replace biology in running & doing things?
- Will that be late enough for genetic engineering or global warming to matter much?
- When will the dominant creatures around take a long view, or an abstract view?
- What types of competition and coordination (e.g., governance) institutions will dominate in which social areas when and where?
- What forms of governance will be most common in which different future eras?
- When will mental organization of dominant creatures deviate greatly from that of humans now?
- After that point, which kinds of minds will win which competitions where?
- After that point, what units of mental or social organization will matter most, and when or where?
- After that point, what will minds value, and at what levels will they most encode and coordinate values?
- What were the key causes and enablers of each past key growth mode (life, brains, foraging, farming, & industry)?
- When will the next growth mode start, what will enable it, and how will it differ?
- When, if ever, will all that we caused and care about end and die?
- What will be our deepest future collapse, short of extinction, how deep will that be, and how long to recover?
- When will be the next major civilization collapse, what % of world will that take down, and how different is the next civ?
- When will be the next big war, and will many nukes be used?
- When, if ever, will external genetic, econ, or military competition again drive large scale policy & governance choices?
- Where in space-time are most of the human like creatures who believe they are experiencing our place in space-time?
- What are our strongest levers of influence today over the universe?
- How long will how much non-human nature remain, and how wild will that be?
- What are the actual motivations that drive most human behavior today?
- What has been driving the main changes in values and attitudes over the last few centuries, and what further changes will they induce?
- What new practices and institutions can enable greatly increased rates of innovation?
- When, if ever, will more general & reliable truth-oriented institutions (e.g., prediction markets) offer estimates on a wide range of subjects?
- When, if ever, will average human fertility stop falling, and total human population rise?
- When, if ever, will human per-capita income stop rising?
- Will human per-capita energy usage ever start rising greatly again?
- When will humans become effectively immortal, and least re internal decay?
Charts & Graphs
lots of intriguing, silly, clever charts from history.
Boomer Brains
What ss the internet doing to boomers’ brains? A naive generation gets sucked in.
“They were indoors for 6 months with nothing to do but watch Fox News and go on Facebook. And now they’re telling me, ‘Oh well, the weak just need to die and then we’ll be over this thing.’”
Permanent Assumptions
More people wake up every morning wanting to solve problems than wake up looking to cause harm
Nothing too good or too bad stays that way forever
A big group of people can get smarter and better informed over time. But they can’t, on average, become more patient, less greedy, or more level-headed during periods of upheaval.
Cannonball Run
All the pearl-clutching about the morality of performing a Cannonball Run during a global pandemic seems to have been for nothing, with America’s most illegal record having been beaten 7 times in just 5 weeks.
The end of the ‘2 cultures’
After the pandemic, an ignorance of science will no longer be viable in polite company. 2 cultures will become 1. And the accommodation will have to be made by those of us in the humanities. And it is no longer cute or raffish to be innumerate.
Internet Archive books
Internet Archive offers 1.4M copyrighted books for free online, while the author’s guild never misses an opportunity to be on the wrong side of history.
Judging book cases
What I love is looking at people’s book cases — the amount of John Grisham they have on there. And these are educated people!