To estimate how much medieval literature once existed, book historians compare ancient book catalogs, which are incomplete, with the number and scope of surviving texts. Another estimate borrowed a technique from ecology called the “unseen species” model. The researchers turned to lists of surviving medieval texts—and those suspected to have been lost—written between 600 and 1450 C.E. in Dutch, French, Icelandic, Irish, English, and German. There were 3648 texts in total. When they ran those numbers through the unseen species model, the algorithm suggested just 9% of medieval texts from that period survived to the present day. That’s rather close to traditional estimates of 7%. The new study also broke things down by region: The model suggests only about 5% of English vernacular works have survived, compared with 17% and 19% for Icelandic and Irish vernacular works, respectively.
Tag: books
Haber-Bosch
50% of the nitrogen in our bodies came from the Haber–Bosch process. It’s in every protein and every strand of DNA. Ponder that — “50% of the nitrogen in your blood, your skin and hair, your proteins and DNA, is synthetic.” The Haber-Bosch process catalyzes the production of ammonia (NH3) from N2 and H2 gas. We need “fixed nitrogen”, available to our organic chemistries as atomic nitrogen. It is the limiting factor for the growth of all food. While nitrogen gas is about 80% of our atmosphere, not one atom of it is available for our use when tightly bound by the triple bond of N2 gas, the strongest chemical bond in nature. It is sequestered all around us. In nature, N2 is liberated to atomic nitrogen in small amounts by lightning strikes (it needs 1000°C) and slowly by nitrogen-fixing bacteria in the soil. Hager argues that if we reverted to relying on just those natural sources, 3b people would die of starvation in short order — our soils simply could not produce enough food for the mouths now on Earth. The Haber process consumes 4% of the world’s natural-gas production and 1.5% of the world’s energy supply.
2021-11-30: There’s a potential replacement:
The process is as clean as the electricity used to power it, and produces around 53 nanomoles of ammonia per second, at Faradaic efficiencies around 69%. The highest reported previous efficiencies for ammonia electrolysis sat around 60%, with the exception of 1 other lithium cycling approach that managed 88%, but required high temperatures of 450 °C. The team says it’s massively scalable, capable of operating either at industrial scale, or in extremely small on-site operations. “They can be as small as a thick iPad, and that could make a small amount of ammonia continuously to run a commercial greenhouse or hydroponics setup, for example.” This kind of distributed production model, as we explored looking at FuelPositive’s modular, container-sized ammonia production units, would have additional benefits in that it would eliminate the distribution and transport that contribute significantly to the financial and emissions costs of the current ammonia model.
2022-05-04: What happens when you think you can do without Haber-Bosch.
2022-07-22: The same team was able to improve ammonia electrolysis further, with 3x yield and nearly 100% energy efficiency.
We investigate the role of the electrolyte in this reaction and present a high-efficiency, robust process enabled by compact ionic layering in the electrode-electrolyte interfacial region. The interface is generated by a high-concentration imide-based lithium salt electrolyte, enabling stabilized ammonia yield rates of 150±20 nmol s-1 cm-2 and current-to-ammonia efficiency closely approaching 100%.

The Musical Human
There are other ancestral ghosts hidden in the Western canon. When Bach set lines from the Song of Songs in his cantata Wachet auf, he drew on a tradition that goes back at least as far as the Sumerian hymns written by the world’s first known composer, Enheduanna, in the third millennium BC. Likewise, the 6/8 time of the final movement of Beethoven’s Sixth Symphony is African in origin, brought into Europe through popular dances in the 15th century.
Noah Smith scifi recs
The Vorkosigan saga, by Lois McMaster Bujold
This might be the greatest scifi book series of all time. It’s a series of intrigues, space adventures, mysteries, and comedies, centered around a liberal family struggling to reform a conservative empire. Astute observers will recognize that Tyrion Lannister was probably slightly inspired by Miles Vorkosigan. I’m truly amazed that no one has talked about making this into a Netflix series yet. I have several friends who read the entire series multiple times in a row after I recommended it. My advice is to start with Barrayar, then move on to The Warrior’s Apprentice.
Schismatrix Plus, by Bruce Sterling
This book gets lumped in with cyberpunk, but it’s really not cyberpunk. Instead, it’s a wild, episodic journey around a future Solar System in the middle of a technological Singularity. The protagonist, whom I identify with pretty deeply, is just a guy who goes around finding 1 thing after another to get involved with — always looking to sidestep the onrushing future and find the next cool trip. The sheer breadth of far-out cool scifi ideas and cultures he encounters on his rambling journey makes this feel like multiple books in one. This setting also somehow reminds me of Austin, Texas back in the 80s and 90s — the sort of Wild West feeling combined with techno-optimism and plenty of weirdos. Kind of a Slacker in space. Which makes sense, because Bruce Sterling is from Texas.
Finite and Infinite Games
The wisdom held in this brief book now informs most of what I do in life. Its key distinction–that there are 2 types of games, finite and infinite–resolves my uncertainties about what to do next. Easy: always choose infinite games. The message is appealing because it is deeply cybernetic, yet it’s also genuinely mystical. I get an “aha” every time I return to it.
Automated bestsellers
What is Barack Obama Book? It’s not a book, exactly. It’s an SEO ploy by a shadowy company that has scores of $2.99 knockoffs ready to be downloaded. But it’s also not not a book, in the sense that it is words on pages, bound by covers or delivered to your Kindle. I don’t think Barack Obama Book was written by a human being, but I do think the A.I. that excreted it made some decent points about Barack Obama. University Press has churned out 55 books since February 2019, and I like to imagine the hardworking A.I. behind these titles holed up in a hotel room somewhere, chain-smoking, downing coffee, and furiously digesting every single extant fact about, say, Queen Elizabeth. Then the A.I. compacts all that information into a small, dense slab of readable prose and sends it out into the world. “To knowledge!” University Press toasts at night, watching the royalties flood in. Sometimes it invites over friends like Birthday Song, who performs 100s of versions of the birthday song personalized for individual names on Spotify, or Videogyan, who creates iterative animations of babies doing ordinary tasks and has nearly 10M YouTube subscribers. Perhaps a bit sloshed, University Press lectures its friends long into the evening: “Ultimately,” it intones, “Barack Obama is just a human being with considerable charisma and charm who used his abilities to help him become President of the United States.” Its friends raise their glasses. “Happy Birthday Barack,” sings Birthday Song.
What made the Vikings tick?
In the early 11th century the best-travelled woman in the world must have been Gudrid Thorbjarnardóttir, whose remarkable journeys demonstrate the great distances the Vikings covered. She gave birth to a child in North America, met people of the First Nations and ate grapes in Vinland, made a pilgrimage to Rome and drank wine in Italy, and died as a nun in Iceland.
2020 Hugo Awards
Best Novel
A Memory Called Empire by Arkady MartineBest Novella
This Is How You Lose the Time War by Amal El-Mohtar and Max GladstoneBest Novelette
Emergency Skin by N.K. Jemisin ( Forward Collection (Amazon))Best Short Story
“As the Last I May Know”,by S.L. HuangBest Series
The Expanse by James S. A. Corey
Life In Our Phage World
The world of phages is more than a little scary. They have been evolving for billions of years, their numbers are so vast every writer in this anthology resorts to scientific notation, and their generation time is as low as minutes, making for dizzying amounts of selection pressure and optimization – phages seem to have explored every possible way of attacking, subverting bacteria, replicating faster, compacting and making themselves more efficient, and won every arms-race bacteria started with them.
2023-01-12: And the reverse
A species of plankton that populate freshwater worldwide is the world’s first known organism that survives and thrives by dining on viruses alone, an advance that sheds new light on the role of viruses in the global food web. This virus-only diet – “virovory” – is enough to fuel the growth and reproduction of a species of Halteria, a single-celled organism known for the minuscule hairs.
2025-09-18: Viable AI-mutated phages
the researchers mixed all 16 AI-generated phages with ΦX174 and then threw them into a tube with E. coli cells. Because the phages were forced to compete for the same host cells, the variants that reproduced fastest would dominate. By sequencing the phages over time, the researchers could track which phages were gaining ground and which were falling behind. Several of the AI phages consistently outperformed wild ΦX174, with one variant (called Evo-Φ69) increasing to 65x its starting level.
Ultimately, these 16 AI-generated phages were not only viable; in many cases, they were more infectious than wildtype ΦX174 despite carrying major genome alterations that a human would be unlikely to rationally design.
Human Diversity
Nothing we are going to learn will diminish our common humanity. Nothing we learn will justify rank-ordering human groups from superior to inferior — the bundles of qualities that make us human are far too complicated for that. Nothing we learn will lend itself to genetic determinism. We live our lives with an abundance of unpredictability, both genetic and environmental