Tag: astroturf

Obesity

Riding on the metro in DC, I was informed that the 69M obese in the US are hype. I’m glad the food industry is looking out for me and even providing me with helpful cartoons.
2007-03-31: The obesity gas connection

US citizens are burning 3.7B liters of gas a year more than they did in 1960, because they are much heavier. That’s about $2.2B worth of fuel, and a lot of greenhouse gas emissions.

2007-04-27: Congress promotes obesity through agricultural subsidies. Ever heard of HFCS?
2007-09-11: plus the reduction in burger and fries consumption would cause less brazilian forest to be burned, further reducing emissions.

$1 in real gasoline prices would reduce obesity in the US by 15% after 5 years.

2007-09-18: No comment necessary.

Many 5-passenger vehicles are rated 385 kg, maxing out if their 5 occupants weigh more than 77 kg each. 6 90 kg people would overload the 7-passenger Dodge Grand Caravan minivan.

2008-03-29: More fatties are found, unsurprisingly.

More than 50% of American adults considered to have normal body weight have high body fat percentages — greater than 20% for men and 30% for women — as well as heart and metabolic disturbances. The finding conflicts with the widely held belief that maintaining a normal weight automatically guards against disorders such as high levels of circulating blood fats and a tendency to develop metabolic syndrome, which often leads to type 2 diabetes.

2008-12-22: The war against fat people has begun.
2010-06-08: Fighting obesity with that other staple, security. brilliant!

27% of all Americans ages 17 to 24 are too overweight to join the military. Now, the group of retired military officers that prepared the report is asking Congress to pass a nutrition bill that would make school lunches healthier.

2011-03-25: Obesity deaths

Since 2001, premature death from obesity has exceeded death from malnutrition.

2015-07-27: a large part of the decline is due to people drinking fewer sodas.

Calories consumed daily by the typical American adult, which peaked around 2003, are in the midst of their first sustained decline since federal statistics began to track the subject, more than 40 years ago.

2015-08-11: There are few public health interventions as beneficial as destroying the soft drinks industry.

Coca-Cola, the world’s largest producer of sugary beverages, is backing a new “science-based” solution to the obesity crisis: To maintain a healthy weight, get more exercise and worry less about cutting calories.

The beverage giant has teamed up with influential scientists who are advancing this message in medical journals, at conferences and through social media. To help the scientists get the word out, Coke has provided financial and logistical support to a new nonprofit organization called the Global Energy Balance Network, which promotes the argument that weight-conscious Americans are overly fixated on how much they eat and drink while not paying enough attention to exercise.

2016-03-23: soda taxes are very odd:

Why not just target the output, rather than some random subset of inputs? We could tax obesity if we wanted to. Or if we want to seem less punitive, we could award tax credits to obese people who lose weight. A tax directly pegged to reduced obesity would certainly be a much more efficient way to achieve the stated policy goal of reducing obesity. We are unwilling to humiliate the obese by taxing them directly, and so our chosen policies do less to help…the obese.

2016-12-31: Viral components of obesity?

During the experiment, both groups of chickens consumed the same amount of food. By the end of the experiment, only the chickens infected with the SMAM-1 virus had become fat. However, even though the infected chickens were fatter, they had lower cholesterol and triglyceride levels in their blood than the uninfected birds. “It was quite paradoxical,because if you have a fatter chicken, you would expect them to have greater cholesterol and circulating triglycerides, but instead those levels went in the wrong direction.” Though Dhurandhar and Atkinson have conducted several strong studies showing the contribution of Ad-36 to fatness, skepticism remains. “I remember giving a talk at a conference where I presented 15 different studies in which Ad-36 either caused or was correlated to fatness. At the end of it, a good friend said to me, ‘I just don’t believe it.’ He didn’t give a reason; he just didn’t believe it. People are really stuck on eating and exercise as the only contributors to fatness. But there is more to it.”

2018-08-16: Sugar is everywhere

Yes, we ate more in 1976, but differently. Today, we buy 50% as much fresh milk per person, but 5x more yoghurt, 3x more ice cream and – wait for it – 39x as many dairy desserts. We buy 50% as many eggs as in 1976, but a 33% more breakfast cereals and 2x the cereal snacks; 50% the total potatoes, but 3x the crisps. While our direct purchases of sugar have sharply declined, the sugar we consume in drinks and confectionery is likely to have rocketed (there are purchase numbers only from 1992, at which point they were rising rapidly. Perhaps, as we consumed just 9kcal a day in the form of drinks in 1976, no one thought the numbers were worth collecting.) In other words, the opportunities to load our food with sugar have boomed. As some experts have long proposed, this seems to be the issue.

2022-01-29: The energy balance theory is bogus

“People get fat because they take in more calories than they expend” is wrong. “Consider using the identical logic to describe, say, why people get wealthy. Economists would be embarrassed by a money-balance theory of wealth: People get rich because they take in more money than they spend. Clearly wealthy people did. We know that because they’re wealthy. The increase in wealth is the positive money balance. But this says nothing about how or why they accumulate such wealth. In obesity research, this tautological logic — saying the same thing in two different ways but offering no explanation for either — was allowed to become the central dogmatic truth.“ Then what does cause obesity? “People don’t get fat because they eat too much, consuming more calories than they expend, but because the carbohydrates in their diets — both the quantity of carbohydrates and their quality — establish a hormonal milieu that fosters the accumulation of excess fat.“

2022-08-14: Wegovy uses a hormone to regulate hunger. It’s wildly effective.

Once it becomes obese, the human body tends to push itself to rebound to its previous highest weight. Scientists don’t fully understand why, or how to stop it. Many speculate that our brains have not adjusted to living in a time of plenty. “There’s been a selection bias towards those people who could better protect body weight during times of famine. But now we don’t have a shortage of food.” When a patient stops taking Wegovy, their appetite returns within weeks and they pack on weight. Patients who came off the drug regained 7% of their body weight. “We used to think that behavior causes the weight state, but now we think the weight state actually causes the behavior”.

Age of quacks

If you didn’t know Baltimore has a permanent Rumor Control hotline, you’re not alone. The municipal rumor-snuffing center is little promoted today. Rumor Control’s mission is squash misinformation, loose talk, and wild-haired stories that might affect the health and safety of the city. It was established in 1968 to ease tensions and provide information amid the riots that followed the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.’s assassination. Once its services were advertised on the sides of buses. Now about the only place you’ll find the number is buried in the phone book’s blue-paged government listings. “Most of the calls that come in today just want to know what Rumor Control is”.

i wonder if the panopticon singularity hedged with augmented social networks will be able to stem the tide of quacks?

Memetic networks


Valdis Krebs is mapping out memetic networks by analyzing Amazon buying patterns.
Jon Udell has some additional thoughts on how to apply these findings:

Filling the “structural holes” in networks, and creating large audiences from sets of smaller ones, is a fascinating idea — though I’m sure it’s easier said than done.

Visual tools to aid memetic engineering? Elsewhere, memetic networks are seen as a new form of infowar.

Emergent transparency

Someone once said to me that they no longer read newspapers, because whenever they read an article about an area they were an expert in, the article was invariably 90% bollocks. Key facts would be missing, or misunderstood; known charlatans would have been interviewed and treated as holy; old or misleading conclusions would have been made. And if, this guy reasoned, that was true for the stories he knew about, it must be true for everything in the paper. Why, then, should he bother reading it?
Government is having the same problem, but it is made worse. It’s not that experts grumble into their beer about obscure nuances of law, as they’ve done that for 1000s of years. It’s not even just that experts can point out the fallacies of proposed legislation on the internet – and reach a large and active audience – although this is increasingly true. It’s that the internet specifically allows everyone to become an expert in whatever field. What we have is not Emergent Democracy, as many would have it, but Emergent Transparency. It’s not enough for a minister to say “Trust Me” anymore, because 5 minutes with Google usually finds every single lie, or spin, or misplaced understanding. To return to my non-newspaper buying friend, it’s not just that 90% of the statements about things I know about are wrong, but that I now know 90% of everything you make statements about. The internet hive mind is fact-checking as you go.

ben hammersley on why voters are staying away from the voting booths in droves. with the end of practical obscurity, a new polis needs to emerge.

Web revisionism

One of the reasons some alert readers noticed the change and were able to prove it – was that Google had archived the pages before the change occurred. Now that all of the White House pages about Iraq are no longer archived by Google, such historical revisionism will be harder to catch.

Integrity-preserving services like archive.org become more important all the time. Ideally distributed, anonymous and secure, to make it impossible to purge anything from the record.

Is credibility doomed?

ivan amato reports about video insertion technologies:

The ability to manipulate video data in real time has just as much potential as some of these forerunners. “Now that you can alter video in real time, you have changed the world, Deleting people or objects from live video, or inserting prerecorded people or objects into live scenes, is only the beginning of the deceptions becoming possible. Pretty much any piece of video that has ever been recorded is becoming clip art that producers can digitally sculpt into the story they want to tell.

clearly, these technologies erode the trust that average persons have in visual imagery. the parts of society that rely on television for their news are doomed.

Imagine you are the government of a hypothetical country that wants more international financial assistance, You might send video of a remote area with people starving to death and it may never have happened

amato then goes on to blame the internet because “so much internet content is unfiltered”. the opposite is true, actually. the only hope we have to counter these massive manipulations is decentralized publishing combined with a web of trust. already, mobile devices with integrated cameras are available, personal publishing is here (albeit not on a joe 6pack level yet), and the first crude experiments with trust metrics are being undertaken. big media relies on trust, and if this trust is gone, big media is dead.