Tag: amazon

Robot Logistics

Amazon Warehouse Automation Challenge. As with everything, Amazon are cheapskates. The price money is just $25k, hardly appropriate for this. For how it is in those warehouses, check out fulfillment
2019-05-21: USPS Tests Self-Driving

For this pilot, the human driver will handle the truck on surface streets, but TuSimple is already looking to a second phase of the pilot, where the robot does all the work. Meanwhile, it’s 400-person team is working to expand the robot’s operating envelope. The system can handle high winds, night driving (handling high beams was a pain), and rain, while ice on the road remains “a nasty problem.” If it never succeeds, the postal service has a team of mules up for the task.

2020-03-20: Missed Logistics Opportunity

Suddenly the world has been thrust into a crisis with 3 interesting aspects:

  1. A huge upswing in demand, and delivery companies are falling way behind.
  2. A sudden desire to not have a delivery driver touch packages, and drivers don’t want to interact with people.
  3. The roads in some areas have become almost deserted due to lockdowns.

What a glorious opportunity this could have been for the road based delivery vehicles. While they have not yet reached the safety level needed to do full time operations with no human on board in regular traffic, it’s quite possible that they can do it on mostly deserted streets. Particularly if low speed operations can be tolerated on those streets. However, even if that’s true, since nobody anticipated this, nobody has worked to build proof of that level of safety.

2020-06-26: Zoox

The ability to deliver anything in an Amazon warehouse on short notice will be a very attractive product. The cost of robot delivery will be low enough to be bundled in with Amazon Prime. If you can get anything in one of those giant Amazon warehouses in 30 minutes, that’s scary news for the rest of retail.

2020-12-14: Zoox robotaxi

this is interesting from a design perspective: what assumptions are no longer true and can be revised for a better experience? Passengers face one another, allowing for a more social experience. The interior is spartan, not the overcrowded complex dashboard of current cars and some robotaxi designs. Just a small display and charging port. The seats mix taxi goals (ease of cleaning and able to handle heavy use) with car design. The electric vehicle design allows a low center of gravity, and combined with wheels moved to the corners of the vehicle, a more flexible interior design with more space for the same footprint. Each wheel can also turn independently, allowing for an 8.6m turning radius. In many cases, it will not turn at all, when it wants to change direction of travel, it just changes. The vehicle is narrow and short enough, given that, to handle streets and driveways that might be a challenge for wider vehicles. Airbags are integrated into the special seats and their enclosing walls for extra crash safety.

2021-07-06: Posthuman Logistics

Outside of London is a massive supermarket—one that customers cannot enter. Instead it’s dedicated to fulfilling online orders. It’s filled with an upper-level cartesian grid swarming with over 2000 wheeled robots that zoom around in the X- and Y-axes. Beneath the robots’ wheels, each square of the grid is filled with up to 21 milk crates loaded with grocery products. The ‘bots can suck these bins up through their bottoms, then zip them over to the periphery, where additional sorting ‘bots pick-and-package them.

2023-02-23: Zoox goes public in California

Last week, the California DMV granted us our permit to operate our robotaxi autonomously on public roads. This weekend, we hit the road! It marked the first time in history that a purpose-built robotaxi—with no manual controls—drove autonomously on open public roads with passengers.

Amazon vs Walmart

both amazon and walmart squeeze margins (code for death to mom & pop stores) and lead to consumer surplus, but only one is relentlessly criticized: the one not delivering to the homes of the soy latte commentariat.

The beauty of low margins

i love this, and wish more companies aspired to it. for example, i want my bank to have the lowest possible overhead: no branch offices, no warm bodies, etc.

Amazon, as best I can tell, is a charitable organization being run by elements of the investment community for the benefit of consumers. The shareholders put up the equity, and instead of owning a claim on a steady stream of fat profits, they get a claim on a mighty engine of consumer surplus. Amazon sells things to people at prices that seem impossible because it actually is impossible to make money that way. And the competitive pressure of needing to square off against Amazon cuts profit margins at other companies, thus benefiting people who don’t even buy anything from Amazon.

Drone delivery

Matternet is using drones to leapfrog transportation networks around the world with UAV.

2013-12-01: Weirdly, they had humans in the distribution center, and you have to live within a 30 min flight of the kind of suburban wasteland that would have a amazon distribution center, but still.

2016-12-15: Amazon Prime Air soon expanding to 10s of customers

Amazon Prime Air is a delivery system from Amazon designed to safely get packages to customers in 30 minutes or less using drones. Amazon had their first commercial delivery on December 7, 2016

2019-07-25: UPS drones

If UPS gets its way, it’ll be known for vehicles other than its famous brown vans. The delivery giant is working to become the first commercial entity authorized by the Federal Aviation Administration to use autonomous delivery drones without any of the current restrictions that have governed the aerial testing it has done to date.

2020-04-28: While this is not at scale, it probably wouldn’t have happened for years due to inertia.

UPS and CVS are partnering up to deliver medications via drone. Deliveries will take place from a single CVS in Florida to The Villages, a nearby retirement community and the largest in the US, with over 135k residents.

2020-05-08: unclear why they limit speed to 100 km/h.

Getting medicine to remote parts of Africa isn’t easy. Drones change everything. Flying at 100km/h, they can cut a treacherous 4-hour road journey to just 30 minutes. Drones delivered 5500 units of blood to Rwandan regional hospitals over a 12-month period. It led to a reduction in maternal deaths. Fewer cases of malaria-induced anaemia. Rwanda is leading the way.

2022-02-25: Zipline is another drone delivery company. Very unclear if or why they’re further ahead than others. I suspect they’re the company alluded to in the Rwanda piece above. It appears that this is still a very nascent market. It is very telling that it is only being used for medical deliveries in essentially unregulated countries. All of these startups have less than $10m revenue.

2022-03-28: This video goes into some detail why drone delivery hasn’t taken off yet: Difficult terrain, cost advantage has eroded.

2023-03-19: Zipline tries again in the US with a more accurate drone

The new service is based on its P2 Zip drone, an autonomous winged aircraft that has the ability to hover in the sky above its destination. It sends the package down in a self-propelled droid capable of pinpointing its landing to an area as small as a patio table. “This new delivery experience works for a tiny backyard, a small patio, a stoop, or a small courtyard of a building”
Most other projects are in a beta stage, although Wing recently claimed it can now deliver 1000 packages a day in the select areas where it is operating, and has ambitions of increasing that into the millions over the next 18 months.

Amazon Fashion

And shopper-friendly advice — does the size 8 shoe run big or small? — is prominent.

really what they should be doing is specify the sizes of all their items in standard cm, instead of the fantasy fashion sizes. wrong sizes is probably a significant driver for returns, so amazon has an interest in expunging vanity sizes.

Amazon Marketplace Bots

more mundane singularity happenings:

There are whole species of other bots that infest the Amazon Marketplace, pretending to have used copies of books, fighting epic price wars no one ever sees. So with “Turing Test” we have a delightful futuristic absurdity: a computer program, pretending to be human, hawking a book about computers pretending to be human, while other computer programs pretend to have used copies of it. A book that was never actually written, much less printed and read.

Cutting out publishers

publishers and tv networks are some of those middlemen we no longer need.

Book publishers should be scared. After multiple major publishers played hardball with Amazon over the price of eBooks in the Kindle store, Amazon could very well woo away big name writers with promises of big digital sales and a huge marketing push through the Kindle. That could also translate into lower prices for books for consumers, given there will be less mouths to feed if they were to cut out the middleman.

Gardening at scale


Large-scale agricultural experimentation by the incas, and how similar designs could be used to affect climate on a continental scale. There are some theories that this is exactly what happened in the amazon basin:

“Anthropologists now believe that the majority of the Amazon rain forest was managed by humans. There are many fruit and nut bearing trees in the Amazon, and this was probably due to human interference. They also used a unique form of burning in the Amazon, where they would stop the fields from completely burning so that there would be charcoal. Turns out the active carbon in charcoal bonds to organic elements and makes the soil as good or probably better than using fertilizer.” (from the excellent 1491 by Charles Mann)

The amazon basin has been terraformed on a large scale as far back as 2500 BP, supporting a population of 8M by the time the spaniards showed up in 1492. After that, it of course crashed.
2020-04-11: The large scale cultivation goes back much further.

We show that, starting at around 10 ka BP, inhabitants of this region began to create a landscape that ultimately comprised 4700 artificial forest islands within a treeless, seasonally flooded savannah. Our results confirm that humans have markedly altered the landscape ever since their arrival in Amazonia.

2022-06-02: Amazonian cities

Starting 1.5 ka BP, ancient Amazonians built and lived in densely populated centers, featuring 22m earthen pyramids and encircled by kilometres of elevated roadways. 2 of the urban centers each covered an area of more than 100 hectares — 3x the size of Vatican City. The lidar images revealed walled compounds with broad terraces rising 6m above ground. On one end of the terraces stood conical pyramids made of earth. People likely lived in the areas around the terraces and travelled along the causeways connecting the sites to one another. Lidar images found reservoirs in the settlements, perhaps indicating that this part of the world wasn’t always wet — an environmental shift that might have driven people away. But then again, steady pollen records reveal that maize was grown in the area continuously for 1000s of years, indicating sustainable agricultural practices.