Month: May 2020

Subscriticality

There will be explosive economic, biological, and technological moves, much more explosive than in the recent past, in part because the ground has been cleared for them, but also because our new, over-excited society has collective scar tissue making it predisposed to jump sooner, further, and faster. This will lead to more rapid technology adoption, faster cycles, and great gains for investors willing to embrace the emergence of subcritical society.

Against Physicals

The move to more remote and virtual health care delivery is inevitable. So is the recognition that the routine physical exam offers little beyond serving as a pretext for doctors and patients to meet. The advent of wearables, home automatic blood pressure cuffs, pulse oximetry devices, video calls, etc. will bolster unlinking care from in-person visits to doctors’ offices and clinics.

AI Symbolic Mathematics

For almost all the problems, the program took less than 1 second to generate correct solutions. And on the integration problems, it outperformed some solvers in the popular software packages Mathematica and Matlab in terms of speed and accuracy. The Facebook team reported that the neural net produced solutions to problems that neither of those commercial solvers could tackle.

Proofing Fonts

The far more pernicious issue with pangrams, as a means for evaluating typefaces, is how poorly they portray what text actually looks like. Every language has a natural distribution of letters, from most to least common, English famously beginning with the E that accounts for 12% of what we read, and ending with the Z that appears just once every 1111 letters. Letter frequencies have been calculated since at least the 9th century, and crop up in the most unexpected places: Etaoin Shrdlu, the leftmost rows of the Linotype keyboard, merits an entry in the OED. These values were calculated by computer scientist Peter Norvig, whose 2012 analysis measured a massive corpus containing more than 3.5 trillion letters. Letter frequencies differ by language and by era — the J is 10x more popular in Dutch than English; biblical English unduly favors the H thanks to archaisms like thou and sayeth — but no language behaves the way pangrams do, with their forced distribution of exotics. 7 of the most visually awkward letters, the W, Y, V, K, X, J, and Z, are among the 9 rarest in English, but pangrams force them into every sentence, guaranteeing that every paragraph will be riddled with holes. A typeface designer certainly can’t avoid accounting for these unruly characters, but there’s no reason that they should be disproportionately represented when evaluating how a typeface will perform

The new economics of chess

Do not underestimate Magnus Carlsen. He has been #1 in classical chess, rapid, and blitz, all at the same time. He is a huge YouTube star in chess. He has won a tournament about chess trivia, and he has been #1 in fantasy football for the whole world (not an easy feat).

And now he is bringing an economic revolution to chess, with himself as the #1 labor and equity earner at the same time.