World 1.0	World 2.0
110 successive months of job growth	10M jobless claims in 2 weeks
10 year bull market across sectors	Winners and losers with extreme outcome inequality
Full employment	30% unemployment
Base rate thinking	First principles thinking
Physical	Digital
Office by default	Remote by default
Office for work	Office for connection, community, ecosystem, makerspaces
Suit, tie, wristwatch, business card	Good lighting, microphone, webcam, home office background
Commute + traffic jams	Home + family
Last km	Only km
Restaurants	Groceries + delivery
$4 toast	Sourdough starter
Walkscore	Speedtest
Cities	Internet
$100k for college	Not paying $100k for a webinar
City	Countryside
YIMBY	NIMBY
Internal issues	Exogenous shock
Lots of little problems	One big problem
Stupid bullshit	Actual issues
Too much technology	Too little technology
Complacency	Action
Years	Days
Policy	Capacity
Ideology	Competence
Assume some government competence	Assume zero government competence
Institutions	Ghost ships
WHO	Who?
Trusted institutions	Trusted people
Globalization	Decoupling
Just-in-time	Stockpile
Tail risk is kooky	Tail risk is mainstream
NATO	Asia
Boomers most powerful	Boomers most vulnerable
Productivity growth collapse	Economic collapse
Social services Democrat	UBI Communist
Propaganda	Propaganda
Deficit hawks	MMT
Corporate debt	Government debt
Techlash	Tech a pillar of civilization and lifeline to billions
Break up Amazon	Don’t break up Amazon!!!
Avoiding social issues	Avoiding layoffs
Sports	Esports
Phone is a cigarette	Phone is oxygen
Resource depletion	$20 oil, $0.75 watt solar, <$100/kwh batteries
Stasis	Change
Low volatility	High volatility
Design	Logistics
Extrovert	Introvert
Open	Closed
20th century	21st century

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