Month: November 2014

Antikythera Mechanism

By examining the structure of the gears, the numbers of teeth, how they interact with each other, and the inscriptions, the AMRP confirmed that the device was an incredibly detailed astronomical calendar that could predict eclipses, calculate the dates of the Olympics, the positions of the sun, moon and planets in the solar system and more. There is nothing else like it known from antiquity, and no other mechanical device would even come close to its complexity until the Middle Ages. “It was not a research tool, something that an astronomer would use to do computations, or even an astrologer to do prognostications, but something that you would use to teach about the cosmos and our place in the cosmos. It’s like a textbook of astronomy as it was understood then, which connected the movements of the sky and the planets with the lives of the ancient Greeks and their environment.” It is pure luck that we fished this thing out of the Mediterranean in 1901. The alternative possibility is that antiquity had many more such exotic devices. We don’t have a very good idea of what antiquity was like.

2022-09-18: Reflections on the mechanism

WHETHER OR NOT sphaerae technology survived until the Renaissance remains unclear. I am inclined to follow Price, who believed it did, but a case can also be made for loss and reinvention. The technology might have been suppressed for religious reasons in later Roman days—certainly its suppression would only have been hastened if the sphaerae were associated with astrology. All that is known is that the technology persisted in Europe until at least 500 CE, and elements seem to have been reintroduced later through the Arabic world.
It is clear that Renaissance scholars knew the Greeks had made mechanical astronomical displays. This is attested, for example, by Giovanni de Dondi, who constructed an elaborate astronomical clock in approximately 1364 CE by Kepler in his letters around 1605 CE and in the writings of Conrad Dasypodius, who designed the Strasbourg astronomical clock around 1571–74 CE.
Given that the Greeks could build the Antikythera mechanism, a common question is what other devices they might have created. Some aspects of the technology can be seen in surviving medical instruments, including small-bore tubes and worm gears. Although the Greeks had elementary lathes, files, and bronze-casting ability, the limited accuracy achieved in the manufacture of gears may explain why there is no evidence of calculators for financial or surveying use. Another deterrent to calculators being designed may have been the ready availability of labor skilled in the abacus and other basic counting devices.
It was the lack of escapement technology that prevented the development of clocks, although some wheelwork was apparently used in clepsydrae. The use of large and crude wooden lantern gears continued in mills and other applications, but further development of practical mechanisms using small metal gears seems to have stalled. In explaining the lack of a classical industrial revolution and the emergence of precision manufacturing technology, many other considerations also come into play, in particular the abundance of slave and other labor, as well as the nature of pre-gunpowder military weapons.

GiveDirectly

ideally, they’ll put tons of useless “aid organizations” out of business:

GiveDirectly gives money directly to the very poor in Kenya and Uganda. GiveDirectly is a top-rated charity by GiveWell. The founders are committed to providing independent, randomized controlled trials of its process. One RCT has already been conducted with positive results and 3 others are under way. GiveDirectly publicizes the trials of its process before the results are produced. Impressive–the drug companies had to be forced to do this

Crazymeds

amazing that some enterprising soul managed to put together such a good site.

It’s excellent because it gives mostly accurate and readable descriptions of the costs and benefits of every psychiatric medication. It has a laser-like focus on what patients will actually want to know and was clearly written by someone with an encyclopedic knowledge of every treatment’s strengths and potential pitfalls.

This is important because the standard psychiatric response to someone who wants to know about a medication (when it’s not “shut up and trust me”) is to print out an information sheet from somewhere like drugs.com or webmd.com. These sites at worst just copy paste the FDA drug information sheet, and at best list off side effects in a rote and irrelevant way that only a robot could love.

Attacking medical waste

$210b are wasted per year on unnecessary treatments in the us alone. time for less paranoia, and more science.

NNT describes how many people would need to take a drug for one person to benefit. The NNT for antibiotics in a case of acute bronchitis is infinity, because the medicine is no better at curing the illness than a placebo. If your kid is throwing up and you take her to the hospital, she might get a drug called Zofran. The NNT for that is 5. You’re pushing 50. You’re healthy, but your doctor suggests you start taking a baby aspirin. That NNT is 2000. Not especially helpful. It’s unfortunate that the NNT is not a statistic that’s routinely conveyed to either doctors or patients. But you can look it up on a site that you’ve probably never heard of: TheNNT.com

3.2 ga oil

this is an old article, but i was curious, and the oldest oil ever found is 3.2 ga old.

Australian scientists have discovered the world’s oldest oil in rocks that date back 3.2 ga. The find suggests that oil-forming microorganisms were widespread very early in the Earth’s history.