2014 predictions
every year, a few friends and i indulge in a little predicting (and then come back to it 1 year later). here are mine, i’d be interested to hear yours:

Whole genome sequencing becomes available for $1000
The supreme court rules that large scale surveillance is constitutional
Governments around the world do the same, under NSA envy, while also passing opportunistic privacy legislation
A Chinese site passes fb in traffic
1m spatial / 4h temporal resolution satellite pictures (cubesats) become commercially available
2 of the also-ran mobile os fold
NLP reaches the text understanding of a third grader
2 attacks by apt against commercial targets in the us create billions of damage
The number of detected extrasolar planets soars past 10000
A utility enters bankruptcy due to the price of solar becoming competitive with coal for the first time
Conversational uis pass the Turing test 80% of the time under a time limit of 5min
It will be possible for < 10m$ to send a message to the personal devices of 5b people within 24h. (What would it say?)
A service reaches 500m users within 1 year of launch
Popular opinion blames technology instead of banksters for the problems of the 99%
2 teams complete the second DARPA robotics challenge with the max number of points possible

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