Month: October 2007

Private Microsoft

So who could buy it? Who has $100b of equity capital available (and the credibility to get the debt financing and spin-offs underwritten?) Clearly there are the usual suspects – the giant private equity players: Blackstone, KKR, Goldman Sachs, Silver Lake, TPG, etc. and the enormous sovereign wealth funds. (You want China to get serious about protecting software licences – give them a stake in Windows/Office…) And what about Cascade (Bill’s private investment management firm)? They might be interested (both financially and emotionally) in recycling $20b of the proceeds back into the deal. (Not to mention all the other MSFT billionaires.) Also you have to think alot of the big institutional holders of MSFT would much rather hold a lean and efficient Windows/Office company and so might well be interested in recycling their payouts into a sidecar or 144a structure to participate in the deal. And then of course there is Warren. A lean, run-for-cash Windows/Office is a company that would be right down Berkshire Hathaway’s alley, no? Basically – and even if my maths/numbers above are a bit shaky, my gut feeling is that it would stack up. It’s fundable. And the banks will fall over themselves to get it done. Think of the fees!!! (In this instance, the ‘absolute’ numbers matter more than the ratios!)

how microsoft could be taken private

Turing Manufacturing

What’s needed today is an analogy to the Turing Machine for design, automation and manufacturing. Recent developments in computing and information science have now made it possible to model and reason about physical manufacturing processes, setting the stage for us to “put the Turing into Manufacturing”. The result, as was the case with databases and computers, would be higher quality, more reliable products, reduced costs, and faster delivery.

Luxury Scam

Access Asia was recently in a Chinese factory where the same workers on the same production line were making $2k bags for an Italian brand, and $35 bags for JC Penney, at the same time. Ever wondered why Coach has so many stores in China? Easy – they make virtually all their bags here. Prada, LV, Furla – all now largely made in China. And that’s where the cost cutting starts, and then continues, with no linings and cheaper thread, glue rather than stitching, as well as cheap labour. Still feeling classy? And typical mark ups on bags once you move to China? Think under $100 to make a bag, which then retails for $1200. Still think you’ve bought status? Or just conned?

ha. luxury products, all a scam.