Month: April 2003

Plastics

Unlike other solid-to-liquid-fuel processes such as cornstarch into ethanol, this one will accept almost any carbon-based feedstock. If a 80 kg man fell into one end, he would come out the other end as 17 kg of oil, 3 kg of gas, and 3 kg of minerals, as well as 56 kg of sterilized water. While no one plans to put people into a thermal depolymerization machine, an intimate human creation could become a prime feedstock. “There is no reason why we can’t turn sewage, including human excrement, into a glorious oil”.

Just as we are hitting the hubbert peak, we get a technology that may make oil rigs obsolete:

Andreassen and others anticipate that a large chunk of the world’s agricultural, industrial, and municipal waste may someday go into thermal depolymerization machines scattered all over the globe. If the process works as well as its creators claim, not only would most toxic waste problems become history, so would imported oil. Just converting all the US agricultural waste into oil and gas would yield the energy equivalent of 4B barrels of oil annually. In 2001 the United States imported 4.2B barrels of oil. “This technology offers a beginning of a way away from this.”

With their main (only?) source of income in danger, what will the middle east kleptocracies do?
because

The only thing this process can’t handle is nuclear waste. If it contains carbon, we can do it.” and Thermal depolymerization has proved to be 85% energy efficient for complex feedstocks, and even higher for relatively dry raw materials, such as plastics

it will be possible to jump start the distributed power infrastructure worldwide.
2007-07-11: Ocean of Garbage

Held together by a slowly rotating system of currents northeast of Hawaii, the Eastern Garbage Patch is more than just a few floating plastic bottles washed out to sea; the Patch is a giant mass of trash-laden water 2x the size of Texas.

2008-01-11: Why not in the US?

Declaring war on the “white pollution” choking its cities, farms and waterways, China is banning free plastic shopping bags and calling for a return to the cloth bags of old

2013-12-05: Depolymerization was hailed as the solution ~10 years ago: turning plastic back into more versatile compounds. I weirdly haven’t heard much about it since. Probably because no one cares about trash?

2015-06-22: Recycling doesn’t work

almost every facility like it in the country is running in the red. More than 2K municipalities are paying to dispose of their recyclables instead of the other way around.

Anything that requires constant vigilance (sorting) combined with subsidies isn’t going to work even medium-term. looks like recycling needs a big reboot.
2017-04-26: Plastic-eating worms. This sounds like one of those “obvious solutions”, like releasing rabbits in Australia to deal with a forgotten problem. Fear our future where the wax worm is up there with rust as a mortal enemy of civilization.

While other organisms can take weeks or months to break down even the smallest amount of plastic, the wax worm can get through more—in a far shorter period of time. The researchers let 100 wax worms chow down on a plastic grocery bag, and after just 12 hours they’d eaten 4% of the bag. That may not sound like much, but that’s a vast improvement over fungi, which weren’t able to break down a noticeable amount of polyethylene after 6 months.

2019-02-07: Hydrothermal liquefaction

Hydrothermal liquefaction could change the world’s polyolefin waste, a form of plastic, into useful products, such as clean fuels and other items. Once the plastic is converted into naphtha, it can be used as a feedstock for other chemicals or further separated into specialty solvents or other products. There is 1B tons of polyolefin waste in landfills.

2019-03-13: Plastic recycling never worked, and was a greenwashing effort by the industry, and dum-dums fell for it.

Even before China’s ban, only 9% of discarded plastic was being recycled, while 12% was burned. The rest was buried in landfills or simply dumped and left to wash into rivers and oceans. Without China to process plastic bottles, packaging, and food containers—not to mention industrial and other plastic waste—the already massive waste problem posed by our throwaway culture will be exacerbated, experts say. The planet’s load of nearly indestructible plastics—more than 8B tons have been produced worldwide over the past 60 years—continues to grow.

2020-01-10: Thai Hacks

As Plastic bag ban hits Thailand, consumers adapt with variety of household carrying items


2020-01-20: Plastic Surge

Companies like ExxonMobil, Shell, and Saudi Aramco are ramping up output of plastic to hedge against the possibility that a serious global response to climate change might reduce demand for their fuels. Petrochemicals now account for 14% of oil use, and are expected to drive 50% of oil demand growth between now and 2050. The World Economic Forum predicts plastic production will double in the next 20 years.

2020-03-03: Microplastics

Every human on Earth is ingesting 2000 particles of plastic a week

2020-04-11: 90% breakdown of PET in under 10 hours. Process is still expensive and needs to scale further.
2020-07-08: Apples are the most contaminated fruit while carrots are the vegetables most affected. This is a much bigger problem than the performative efforts to clean up the great pacific garbage patch.

THROW A POLYESTER sweater in the washing machine and it’ll come out nice and clean, but also not quite its whole self. As it rinses, millions of synthetic fibers will shake loose and wash out with the waste water, which then flows to a treatment plant. Each year, a single facility might pump 21B of these microfibers out to sea, where they swirl in currents, settle in sediments, and end up as fish food, with untold ecological consequences.

2021-10-14: There’s now a startup using PET breakdown technology.

The company plans to use what it learns from the demonstration facility to build its first industrial plant, which will house a reactor 20x larger than the demonstration reactor. That full-scale plant will be built near a plastic manufacturer somewhere in Europe or the US, and should be operational by 2025. Manufacturing PET from enzymatic recycling could reduce greenhouse gas emissions between 17% and 43% compared to making virgin PET.

2022-03-04: Meanwhile, stop it with the performative cleaning:

Last month, a group of marine biologists noticed something fishy in a video by a nonprofit called The Ocean Cleanup. “This is likely a staged video. I call bullshit.” In the 25-second clip, a large net appears to dump 4000 kg of plastic waste, including crates, buckets, and fishing gear, onto the deck of a ship. The Ocean Cleanup, which has raised more than $100m on the promise to rid plastic from the seas, said the trash in the video was just pulled from the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. “It’s like mopping up the spill when the spigot is still on. We can’t clean up our way out of plastic pollution.”

2023-09-29: Big if true

78% of ocean microplastics are synthetic tire rubber

Hiring passion-driven people

You can’t really buy passion-driven people. You have to pay for them, of course, but they have to choose you. Passion-driven people are attracted by many things, but one of the biggest attractions is the desire to work with other passion-driven people who can challenge and appreciate them. As an organization grows, the challenge is to keep the bar high enough that critical mass can be maintained and new people will still continue to be attracted. It’s like running a nuclear reactor — if your fuel rods aren’t pure enough, you won’t be able to get/keep the reaction going; but if you enrich and purify the material, the reaction is self-perpetuating.

back at kpmg consulting, i tried to follow this rule of thumb as well. i only wanted to hire people that actually cared. as it turned out later, these people are rare. when the climate for innovation at kpmg consulting became hostile, i started to work on open source projects, which eventually led me to my current employer. all projects i’m involved in have to pass the radioactivity test. some are on the verge of no longer passing.

Social networks as killer app

alicia shares my interest in social networks / software, so i started a conversation with her, asking what she thought of the potential for social networks to emerge a killer app.

alicia: I think the current trend in social software right now is definitely to try and harness the power of small world network topology. I don’t think anything related to “friend of a friend” is going to become a killer app though unless:
1. the chains are kept short to the tune of 2-3 hops (we, for example, are separated by 4 or 5 friends on Friendster. This is WAY too long of a chain for either of us to really know anything about the other, despite the fact that we’re “connected”)
gregor: highly agreed. yet on the other hand, it allows for serendipity. in our smaller friends circle, it would be harder to cover as many interesting topics, because it’s much likelier that someone with the same interests is in a larger group.
alicia: yes…absolutely true…the problem is that Friendster is positioning the fact that “we’re all connected by friends” as if that should have reputational currency…as if that makes everyone in your personal network trustworthy. And that is definitely NOT necessarily the case.

alicia: 2. the software needs to include a way for people to gauge the affiliative (social) distance of the other users. So, for example, knowing that your favorite movie is Gremlins doesn’t help me contextualize how close/far you are from me socially as would knowing what schools you’ve gone to, where you grew up, where you’ve worked — the groups and organizations you’ve been affiliated with). Without a gauge of social distance, there’s too high a transaction cost to traversing the network in search of someone specific.

gregor: also very true. as we move to leverage these contacts, and make explicit what was implicit before, we will need new vocabulary and new ways to distinguish various levels of being connected.
alicia: yup. definitely agree. “friend” is being worked to death at the moment…and really, it doesn’t import well from software to software (a Friendster friend is different from a LiveJournal friend is different from a Ryze friend, etc) let alone from the virtual to the real.

Indians

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leverage each other

An experiment in Ridiculously Easy Group Forming, if you are going to OSCOM, simply trackback, pingback, link to (assuming you have full content in your rss and an rss autodiscovery link tag in your weblog), email, or simply comment on this weblog entry.
By using trackback, pingback, or simply linking, you are helping spread the word about this weblog entry, and hopefully others who are going will then see it and do likewise.
Then check back periodically (or subscribe to this comment’s rss feed) to see who else is going.

very nice idea. it has been my goal for this conference to make it interactive, and let people schmooze even before the first day of the conference. meeting people is such a central element of any conference, and blogs can greatly increase the value for the conference goer.

Space Elevator

As I’m re-reading the red / green / blue mars series, I’m amazed by the discovery of Liftport. 2018 is also the launch date for a manned mars mission.

Liftport Inc. is a different kind of high-tech startup. Our mission is to build a vital and highly profitable infrastructure for off-world industry. Our first project is the Space Elevator, which will revolutionize space exploration and utilization – first, in the neighborhood of the Earth, and then throughout the solar system. The Space Elevator is a key enabling technology for any work done off the planet, whether in near-earth orbit, at geosynchronous distances, or far beyond the moon. The era of violently blasting things (and people) into space on top of wasteful, dangerous rockets is almost over. In 15 years, we will get there quietly, reliably, safely, and at a fraction of the cost. the lift date is July 1st, 2018.

2006-10-03: CNT strength is, of course, on the critical path.

2006-10-26: Java applet (with annoying IE only check) to play with SE parameters: CNT strength, climber payload, etc.
2019-08-25: A lunar space elevator should be possible in a few years as it doesn’t require exotic new materials. It would save lots because braking to the surface is a significant factor.